Liraglutide (rys), injection solution, pre-filled pen, 6 mg per mL, 3 mL, 2 and 3 pen pack, Victoza® - November 2011
Page last updated: 02 March 2012
Public Summary Document
Product:  Liraglutide (rys), injection solution,
                           pre-filled pen, 6 mg per mL, 3 mL, 2 and 3 pen pack, Victoza
Sponsor: Novo Nordisk Pharmaceuticals Pty
                           Ltd
Date of PBAC Consideration: November 2011
1. Purpose of Application
To request an Authority Required listing for the treatment of type 2 diabetes as:
- dual combination therapy with metformin or a sulphonylurea in patients for whom a combination of metformin and a sulphonylurea is contraindicated or not tolerated;
 - triple combination therapy with metformin and a sulphonylurea.
 
2. Background
                           This was the third consideration by the PBAC of an application to
                           list liraglutide.
                           At its November 2010 meeting, the PBAC rejected a submission to
                           list liraglutide for the same indications as mentioned above
                           because of an unacceptably high and uncertain cost effectiveness
                           ratio.
For full details, see November 2010 Public Summary
                              Document.
                           At the July 2011 meeting, the PBAC rejected a minor submission
                           seeking the same indications as mentioned-above on the basis of
                           uncertain cost effectiveness.
3. Registration Status
                           On 26 August 2010, liraglutide was registered for the following
                           indication:
                           Liraglutide is indicated as an adjunct to diet and exercise for
                           treatment of adults with type 2 diabetes mellitus to achieve
                           glycaemic control
                           
                        
- in dual combination, added to metformin or a sulphonylurea, in patients with insufficient glycaemic control despite the use of maximally tolerated or clinically adequate doses of metformin or sulphonylurea monotherapy.
 - in triple combination, added to metformin and a sulphonylurea in patients with insufficient glycaemic control despite dual therapy.
 
4. Listing Requested and PBAC’s View
Authority required
                           Dual Combination therapy with metformin or a sulfonylurea.
                           Initiation of therapy, in combination with either metformin or a
                           sulfonylurea, in a patient with type 2 diabetes who has an HbA1c
                           greater than 7% prior to initiation of a dipeptidyl peptidase 4
                           inhibitor (gliptin), a thiazolidinedione (glitazone) or a
                           glucagon-like peptide-1 and in whom a combination of metformin and
                           a sulfonylurea is contraindicated or not tolerated.
                           The date and level of the HbA1c must be documented in the
                           patient’s medical records at the time therapy with a gliptin,
                           a glitazone or a glucagon-like peptide-1 is initiated. The HbA1c
                           must be no greater than 4 months old at the time treatment with a
                           gliptin, a glitazone or a glucagon-like peptide-1 is
                           initiated.
                           Continuation of therapy, in combination with either metformin or a
                           sulfonylurea, in a patient with type 2 diabetes where the patient
                           has previously been issued with an authority prescription for
                           liraglutide.
                           Blood glucose monitoring as an alternative assessment to HbA1c
                           levels will be accepted in the following circumstances:
                           a) clinical conditions with reduced red blood cell survival,
                           including haemolytic anaemia and haemoglobinopathies
                           and/or
                           b) red cell transfusion within the previous 3 months.
                           Patients in these circumstances will be eligible for treatment
                           where blood glucose monitoring over a 2 week period shows blood
                           glucose levels greater than 10 mmol per L in more than 20% of
                           tests. The results of this blood glucose monitoring, which must be
                           no more than 4 months old at the time of initiation of treatment
                           with a gliptin, a glitazone or a glucagon-like peptide-1, must be
                           documented in the patient’s medical records.
                           NOTE:
                           Liraglutide is not PBS-subsidised as monotherapy or in combination
                           with an insulin, a thiazolidinedione (glitazone), or a dipeptidyl
                           peptidase 4 inhibitor (gliptin).
Authority required
                           Combination therapy with metformin and a sulfonylurea.
                           Initiation of therapy, in combination with metformin and a
                           sulfonylurea, in a patient with type 2 diabetes who has an HbA1c
                           greater than 7% prior to initiation of a dipeptidyl peptidase 4
                           inhibitor (gliptin), a thiazolidinedione (glitazone) or a
                           glucagon-like peptide-1 despite maximally tolerated doses of
                           metformin and a sulfonylurea.
                           The date and level of the HbA1c must be documented in the
                           patient’s medical records at the time therapy with a gliptin,
                           a glitazone or a glucagon-like peptide-1 is initiated. The HbA1c
                           must be no greater than 4 months old at the time treatment with a
                           gliptin, a glitazone or a glucagon-like peptide-1 is
                           initiated.
                           Continuation of therapy, in combination with either metformin and a
                           sulfonylurea, in a patient with type 2 diabetes where the patient
                           has previously been issued with an authority prescription for
                           liraglutide.
                           Blood glucose monitoring as an alternative assessment to HbA1c
                           levels will be accepted in the following circumstances:
                           a) clinical conditions with reduced red blood cell survival,
                           including haemolytic anaemia and haemoglobinopathies
                           and/or
                           b) red cell transfusion within the previous 3 months.
                           Patients in these circumstances will be eligible for treatment
                           where blood glucose monitoring over a 2 week period shows blood
                           glucose levels greater than 10 mmol per L in more than 20% of
                           tests. The results of this blood glucose monitoring, which must be
                           no more than 4 months old at the time of initiation of treatment
                           with a gliptin, a glitazone or a glucagon-like peptide-1, must be
                           documented in the patient’s medical records.
                           NOTE:
                           Liraglutide is not PBS-subsidised as monotherapy or in combination
                           with an insulin, a thiazolidinedione (glitazone), or a dipeptidyl
                           peptidase 4 inhibitor (gliptin).
For PBAC’s view, see Recommendation and
                              Reasons.
5. Clinical Place for the Proposed Therapy
                           Liraglutide, an injection given once daily, is a glucagon-like
                           peptide 1(GLP-1) mimetic and the submission proposed that the place
                           in therapy is as an add-on treatment option where there is
                           inadequate glycaemic control with either metformin or a
                           sulfonylurea or both.
6. Comparator
                           The submission nominated exenatide as the comparator, which was
                           considered appropriate by the PBAC.
7. Clinical Trials
                           The basis of the re-submission was one direct randomised
                           comparative trial, which was presented in the previous submission,
                           comparing liraglutide 1.8 mg daily and exenatide 10 µg twice
                           daily (Study 1797) added to metformin, a sulfonylurea or a
                           combination of both in type 2 diabetics.
                           The current re-submission presented additional data from Study 1797
                           on patient preferences (Schmidt et al, 2011) and antibody
                           production (Buse et al, 2011).
                           The following trials had been published at the time of
                           submission:
| Trial ID / First author | Protocol title/ Publication title | Publication citation | 
|---|---|---|
| Direct randomised trial | ||
| Study 1797 (LEAD 6) | ||
| Buse et al. | Liraglutide once a day versus exenatide twice a day for type 2 diabetes: a 26-week randomised, parallel-group, multinational, open-label trial (LEAD-6). | Lancet 2009; 374: 39–47 | 
| Buse et al. | Switching to once-daily liraglutide from twice-daily exenatide further improves glycemic control in patients with type 2 diabetes using oral agents. | Diabetes Care 2010: 33: 1300-1303 | 
| Schmidt et al. | Patient-reported outcomes are superior in patients with Type 2 diabetes treated with liraglutide as compared with exenatide, when added to metformin, sulphonylurea or both: results from a randomized, open-label study. | Diabetic Medicine 2011; 28: 715-723 | 
| Buse et al. | Liraglutide Treatment Is Associated with a Low Frequency and Magnitude of Antibody Formation with No Apparent Impact on Glycemic Response or Increased Frequency of Adverse Events: Results from the Liraglutide Effect and Action in Diabetes (LEAD) Trials. | Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism 2011; 96: 1695-1702 | 
| Lee et al. | Results of a model analysis of the cost-effectiveness of liraglutide versus exenatide added to metformin, glimepiride, or both for the treatment of type 2 diabetes in the United States. | Clinical Therapeutics 2010; 32: 1756-1767 | 
| Polster et al. | A comparison of preferences for two GLP-1 products – Liraglutide and exenatide - For the treatment of type 2 diabetes. | Journal of Medical Economics 2010: 13: 655-661 | 
8. Results of Trials
The table below summarises the HbA1c change from baseline at Week 26 for Study 1797
                           (LEAD-6).
HbA1c change from baseline at Week 26 in % (ITT - LOCF)
| Liraglutide 1.8mg/day + MET &/or SU N=227 | Exenatide10μg/BD + MET &/or SU N=226 | LS Mean difference a (95% CI) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline Mean (SD) | 26 weeks Mean (SD) | LS Mean change a (SE) | Baseline Mean (SD) | 26 weeks Mean (SD) | LS Mean change a (SE) | |
| 8.2 (1.0) | 7.0 (0.91) | -1.12 (0.08) | 8.1 (0.96) | 7.3 (1.03) | -0.79 ( 0.08 ) | -0.33 (-0.47, -0.18) | 
Abbreviations: BD, twice daily; CI, confidence interval; HbA1c, glycosylated haemoglobin;
                           ITT, intention-to-treat; LOCF, last observation carried forward; LS, least squares;
                           MET, metformin; SD, standard deviation; SE, standard error; SU, sulfonylurea.
a ANCOVA model with treatment, country, and previous treatment as fixed effects and
                           baseline value as a covariate. Difference is (liraglutide-exenatide). This compares
                           to the mean change (SD) previously presented in the November 2010 submission.
There were statistically significantly greater reductions in HbA1c from baseline at
                           Week 26 for liraglutide 1.8 mg/day compared to exenatide 10 µg twice daily (LS mean
                           difference -0.33%, 95% CI -0.47%, -0.18%).
As with the July 2011 minor submission, the re-submission provided additional information
                           to support the claim that a 0.33% reduction in HbA1c is clinically relevant, referring
                           to US FDA and EMA draft guidance documents. While considering that this information
                           was contributory to the PBAC’s view that the stastistiscally significant difference
                           of 0.33% change in HbA1c, favouring liraglutide compared to exenatide, was marginally
                           clinically meaningful, as expressed in July 2011, the PBAC also noted more recent
                           publications (such as BMJ 2011;343:d4169, BMJ 2009;339:b4432) that raised questions again about the clinical significance of small changes in
                           this surrogate endpoint.
The Pre-Sub-Committee Response (PSCR) identified a meta-analysis of the UKPDS, ADVANCE,
                           ACCORD and VDAT studies (Diabetologia. 2009;52:2288-98, Turnbull FM, Abraira C, Anderson RJ, Byington RP, Chalmers JP, Duckworth WC, et al), which generates more precise estimates of the effects of more-intensive compared
                           with less-intensive glyceamic control on the risk of major cardiovascular events amongst
                           patients with type 2 diabetes. The PSCR highlighted the result of a modestly reduced
                           risk of major macrovascular events with more-intensive glucose control.
During the 26-week trial, there were no major hypoglycaemic events in the liraglutide
                           group and only two patients out of 232 experienced a major hypoglycaemic event in
                           the exenatide group. No statistical analyses were performed owing to the “small” numbers.
                           There were statistically significantly fewer patients with minor hypoglycaemic episodes
                           with liraglutide treatment compared with exenatide treatment.
Similar proportions of patients reported gastrointestinal side effects (45.5% liraglutide
                           and 42.7% exenatide), and specifically nausea (25.5% liraglutide and 28.0% exenatide).
The re-submission described nausea and the gastrointestinal side effects of GLP-1
                           therapies (exenatide and liraglutide) as usually transient and not serious. The duration
                           of nausea in the maintenance phase of the clinical trial was longer in the exenatide
                           arm compared to the liraglutide arm (median duration of 57 days versus 14 days). The
                           re-submission claimed that the shorter median duration means that “less patients”
                           experienced nausea in the maintenance phase of the clinical trial with liraglutide.
                           The re-submission incorporated an additional benefit from the “demonstrably less nausea”
                           in the economic evaluation.
 
                        
9. Clinical Claim
                           The re-submission described liraglutide (1.8mg daily) as superior
                           in terms of comparative effectiveness and equivalent in terms of
                           comparative safety to exenatide (10µg twice daily), but with
                           a different safety profile (“demonstrably less
                           nausea”).
                           The PBAC did not accept the claim of superior comparative efficacy
                           of liraglutide to exenatide based solely on a 0.33 % difference in
                           HbA1c. The PBAC had previously determined that the mean difference
                           of -0.33% in HbA1c for liraglutide 1.8 mg/day compared to exenatide
                           in study 1797 was statistically significant and marginally
                           clinically meaningful (July 2011) but now considered that, on
                           balance, the difference was of uncertain clinical benefit,
                           considering that the translation of a 0.33 % reduction in HbA1c to
                           clinical outcomes is uncertain and also dependent on variations in
                           the baseline HbA1c.
                           The re-submission claimed that liraglutide is associated with
                           “demonstrably less nausea” than exenatide. The duration
                           of nausea experienced by liraglutide patients was shorter than
                           exenatide patients.
                           The re-submission claimed that liraglutide is associated with
                           statistically significantly fewer minor hypoglycaemic events
                           compared to exenatide and this difference was included in the
                           economic model which was appropriate. However, the economic model
                           also included a statistically significant difference in major
                           hypoglycaemic events favouring liraglutide, which was considered
                           inappropriate by PBAC.
For PBAC’s view, see Recommendation and
                              Reasons.
10. Economic Analysis
                           An updated modelled economic evaluation was presented, using the
                           CORE Diabetes Model to project long-term treatment outcomes. The
                           type of economic evaluation presented was a cost-utility
                           analysis.
                           The re-submission included additional disutility values (study by
                           Polster et al 2010) for two aspects of exenatide treatment:
                           
                        
- The increased incidence of nausea associated with exenatide treatment; and
 - The differing dosing regimens of exenatide and liraglutide, as exenatide is given twice daily within 60 minutes of both breakfast and dinner whereas liraglutide is given once daily irrespective of meals.
 
                           The results of the economic evaluation produced a base case of
                           between $15,000 - $45,000.
                           Results of the sensitivity analyses indicated that the key drivers
                           of the economic model were HbA1c effect, duration of treatment, and
                           time horizon. The model was most sensitive to the HbA1c effect,
                           with the incremental cost per QALY gained increasing to between
                           $45,000 - $75,000 using the upper bound of the 95% confidence
                           interval (incremental HbA1c reduction of 0.18%) but decreasing to
                           an incremental cost per QALY of between $15,000 - $45,000 using the
                           lower bound of the 95% confidence interval (incremental HbA1c
                           reduction of 0.47%).
For PBAC’s view, see Recommendation and
                              Reasons.
11. Estimated PBS Usage and Financial Implications
                           The likely number of patients treated was estimated by the
                           submission to be between 10,000 – 50,000 in Year 5. The
                           estimate was considered uncertain.
                           The financial cost to the PBS (excluding co-payments) minus any
                           savings in use of other drugs was estimated to be between $30
                           – 60 million in Year 5.
For PBAC’s view, see Recommendation and
                              Reasons.
12. Recommendation and Reasons
                           The PBAC considered the requested restriction and the comparator
                           exenatide to be appropriate.
                           The re-submission again presented the results of study 1797
                           (LEAD-6) in support of the claim of superior clinical efficacy of
                           liraglutide over exenatide. The PBAC noted that the re-submission
                           did not present any clinical outcome data for liraglutide with
                           respect to reduction of cardiovascular morbidity or mortality or
                           for other diabetes related complications. The PBAC considered there
                           is clinical uncertainty about the relationship between intensive
                           glycaemic control and diabetes related complications, including the
                           use of HbA1c as a surrogate for cardiovascular outcomes as noted in
                           recent publications. The PBAC considered that the mean difference
                           of -0.33 % in HbA1c for liraglutide 1.8 mg/day compared to
                           exenatide in study 1797 to be of uncertain clinical benefit,
                           considering that the translation of a 0.33 % reduction in HbA1c to
                           clinical outcomes is considered uncertain, dependent on variations
                           in the baseline HbA1c and that there may be drug effects not
                           captured by HbA1c. The PBAC noted that no data were presented on
                           the comparative efficacy of liraglutide 1.2 mg/day and exenatide.
                           The PBAC further noted that the long term safety of liraglutide is
                           unknown. The PBAC therefore did not accept the claim of superior
                           comparative efficacy of liraglutide to exenatide based solely on a
                           0.33 % difference in HbA1c.
                           The PBAC noted that the key difference in the re-submission from
                           the July 2011 minor submission was the inclusion of additional
                           disutilities for two aspects of treatment with exenatide. The first
                           of these is the addition of a disutility for nausea associated with
                           exenatide based on the submission’s claim of demonstrably
                           less nausea associated with liraglutide. The PBAC noted that this
                           claim was based on the longer duration of nausea in the exenatide
                           arm compared to the liraglutide arm. However, the PBAC noted that
                           the proportion of patients reporting nausea in study 1797 was 28 %
                           for exenatide and 25.5 % for liraglutide. The PBAC did not accept
                           the claim of less nausea associated with liraglutide based on the
                           data presented and considered the inclusion of the additional
                           disutility for treatment with exenatide to be inappropriate, as the
                           PBAC considered that patients experiencing persistent nausea will
                           stop treatment and switch to another treatment. The second
                           additional disutility included in the economic model attributed to
                           treatment with exenatide was the different dosing regimen for
                           exenatide (twice daily) and liraglutide (once daily), which the
                           PBAC noted significantly reduced the ICER per QALY gained. The PBAC
                           further noted that the model did not take into account other
                           adverse effects that were not in favour of liraglutide, such as
                           dyspepsia and constipation, nor the higher incidence of serious
                           adverse events. The PBAC considered that the validity of the
                           disutilities derived from Polster et al (2010) was
                           questionable.
                           The PBAC noted that the re-submission claimed that liraglutide is
                           associated with statistically significantly fewer minor
                           hypoglycaemic events compared to exenatide. However, the economic
                           model included a statistically significant difference in both minor
                           and major hypoglycaemic events favouring liraglutide. The PBAC
                           noted that the difference in major hypoglycaemic events was based
                           on the event rate in study 1797 of nil in 235 patients for the
                           liraglutide arm and 2 in 232 patients in the exenatide arm. The
                           PBAC considered that this evidence to be an insufficient basis to
                           support the claimed difference in major hypoglycaemic events.
                           The PBAC considered that the treatment duration applied in the
                           economic model continued to be a source of uncertainty. As in the
                           July 2011 submission, the re-submission assumed that all patients
                           treated with liraglutide switch to insulin after a defined time
                           period. The PBAC considered that a switch to insulin after a
                           defined time period may not reflect clinical practice and
                           considered that the re-submission did not sufficiently address this
                           issue.
                           The PBAC also noted that the clinical uncertainties associated with
                           using incremental reduction of HbA1c as a surrogate for clinical
                           outcomes resulted in additional uncertainty in the economic
                           evaluation.
                           The PBAC considered the utilisation estimates in the re-submission
                           to be highly uncertain, in particular the assumption of that all
                           patients will titrate up to 1.8 mg per day of liraglutide.
                           The PBAC therefore rejected the submission on the basis that the
                           claim of superior comparative effectiveness over exenatide was not
                           accepted and on the basis of highly uncertain cost
                           effectiveness.
                           The PBAC acknowledged and noted the consumer comments on this item,
                           noting that all correspondence received was from health
                           professionals and organisations.
Recommendation:
Reject
13. Context for Decision
                           The PBAC helps decide whether and, if so, how medicines should be
                           subsidised in Australia. It considers submissions in this context.
                           A PBAC decision not to recommend listing or not to recommend
                           changing a listing does not represent a final PBAC view about the
                           merits of the medicine. A company can resubmit to the PBAC or seek
                           independent review of the PBAC decision.
14. Sponsor’s Comment
                           Novo Nordisk does not agree with the PBAC determination regarding
                           the clinical uncertainty about the relationship between glycaemic
                           control and diabetes related complications and maintains that an
                           improvement in HbA1c is an appropriate surrogate for
                           reduced microvascular and macrovascular diabetic complications.
                           Novo Nordisk also argues that the 0.33% incremental improvement in
                           HbA1c with liraglutide compared with exenatide is not
                           only statistically significant but as defined by the FDA and EMA
                           guidelines is also clinically relevant and significant. Novo
                           Nordisk maintains that once daily liraglutide is clinically
                           superior to twice daily exenatide and that the uncertainties raised
                           by the PBAC such as questions around the inclusion of disutilities
                           for dose frequency and nausea as well as the treatment duration of
                           the health economic modelling, have all been addressed.
                           Novo Nordisk is disappointed that there has been a further delay in
                           the listing of liraglutide on the PBS. However, we are committed to
                           working with all stakeholders to find a way forward in order to
                           make liraglutide available for people with type 2 diabetes in
                           Australia.
                           Please refer to Novo Nordisk website for further information. 




